Finish ETA?

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Finish ETA?

Postby libby the lab » Sat Mar 13, 2021 7:04 am

Dallas has 230 mi left. At 8 miles an hour which is probably fast since they'll be going uphill that would be around 29 hours add 1 hour for daylight savings time add 8 hours at Skwentna and I'm going to guess at least 6 hours additional of rest for a total of 42 hrs. That pretty much means middle of the night to very early morning Monday here in the US? I'm going to hope it's a little slower so it'll be after wake up time here Monday morning
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby tanglefoot » Sat Mar 13, 2021 1:10 pm

Thanks libby, been trying to work it out too
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby mira » Sat Mar 13, 2021 1:53 pm

Dallas used 24 hours and 20 minutes to Rohn. It's a bit hard to figure out how this compares to the return run.

Of course, they have 8 hours mandatory rest, but that is part of their run/rest schedule. In the start, at least some mushers, tries to slow down the team. When the 8 hour rest on Skwentna, that is a bit different. But I think I am close to Linby the labs suggestion, although I think it might be a bit faster than that.
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby mira » Sun Mar 14, 2021 12:33 pm

Dallas is pretty much in, 8 hour rest and 6 hours running time kat best), means 14-15 hours from now. So.. That will be 7-8am east coast?
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby tanglefoot » Sun Mar 14, 2021 1:16 pm

So midday to early afternoon UK time, haven’t had a day time finish for the UK for a while lol
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby mira » Sun Mar 14, 2021 1:18 pm

Dallas time in is 12:44, so he can leave at 20:44. It is 70 miles, so 7 hours is average of 10 mph. That is 4ish am Alaska time, that should 8am east coast?

The fastest teams used only 6 hours one week ago.

And that should be midday in UK and one hour later in Central Europe. I think.
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby mira » Sun Mar 14, 2021 1:22 pm

tanglefoot wrote:So midday to early afternoon UK time, haven’t had a day time finish for the UK for a while lol


I think so? Remember that US has switched to dst, so the time difference is one hour less than usual until we switch (on palm Sunday).
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby libby the lab » Sun Mar 14, 2021 1:54 pm

It is 4 hrs difference from Anchorage to EDT. That means 3 hrs for me in CDT. 5:45AM is better than the 4AM I was predicting!
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby mira » Sun Mar 14, 2021 2:12 pm

I do hope you sanity checks my calculations :) 545 am is doable, 4 is just pain...
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Re: Finish ETA?

Postby elsietee » Sun Mar 14, 2021 7:37 pm

65 miles to the finish.

Dallas leaves at 8:44 pm...

10 mph = 6h 30m = 3:15 am
9 mph = 7h 15m = 4 am
8 mph = 8h 5m = 4:55 am
7 mph = 9h 15m = 6:05 am
6 mph = 10h 50m = 7:55 am
5 mph = 13h = 9:44 am

(I think the maths is right, but don't quote me :) )
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