McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby Fool » Sat Mar 13, 2021 3:28 pm

He probably bumped or moved his sled. Danny Seavey seems to think he'll be leaving around 2:45. From the Seaveys Iditaride facebook page:

"Aaron Burmeister’s running time from Nikolai to Dallas’s camp was identical to Dallas’. They’re moving exactly the same speed. Dallas is still a couple hours front, so that’s good news for him. Expect Dallas to leave at 2:45, Aaron/Brent to stop in Rohn and Dallas to leapfrog them again."
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby Another UK Fan » Sat Mar 13, 2021 3:30 pm

Thanks for the info fool :D
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby Fool » Sat Mar 13, 2021 3:33 pm

Another UK Fan wrote:Thanks for the info fool :D

You're welcome!
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby tanglefoot » Sat Mar 13, 2021 3:44 pm

Yeah it moved to 1mph and said running then resting again.
Be interesting to see who cuts rest to go with dallas at rohn. This could be a fun close race to the finish
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby klmobile » Sat Mar 13, 2021 3:58 pm

Maybe Brent or Ryan kicked his sled on the way by :D
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby Moose » Sat Mar 13, 2021 4:03 pm

Hahahaha. Yes, just to say "We know where you are hiding"!
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby Fool » Sat Mar 13, 2021 4:08 pm

Dallas is on the move! (For real this time.)
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby tanglefoot » Sat Mar 13, 2021 4:09 pm

This time he really has pulled hook, 9.3mph
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby Fool » Sat Mar 13, 2021 4:09 pm

10 miles behind Aaron Burmeister, and a couple of miles behind Brent Sass and Ryan Redington.
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Re: McGrath S - N - Rohn - RP - FL - Skwentna

Postby elsietee » Sat Mar 13, 2021 4:57 pm

The maths on this is SO hard. :)

Distances:
Nik - 601 - 75 miles to
Rohn - 676 - 35 miles to
RP - 711 - 30 miles to
FL - 741 - 40 miles to
SKW - 781 - 87 miles to
Finish - 868


Fool wrote:...Dallas is presumably going to run straight through to Rainy Pass after this rest, a distance of roughly 56 miles from where he is currently camped.


He rested at mile 655 - so 126 miles to SKW... two 63 mile runs with a 3 hour rest in the middle?

For Aaron Burmeister and Brent Sass, both of who camped on the trail around 10 miles past Nikolai, the path forward is a little more uncertain. ...


170 miles for them to SKW... two monster 85 mile runs, or three 55 mile runs (with two 3 hour rests in there?)?

At this stage in the Iditarod, it is far more likely for teams to choose to guard their current position rather than risk not getting their team to the finish with a risky move.


That's a very good point!

About an hour behind the Redington/Sass duo is Wade Marrs, who has quietly put himself within reach of the leaders by running a solid, conservative race that shows improved patience over previous years.


Ryan's last rest was at Nik - 601 - of 4.5 hours. So 180 miles to SKW... three 60 mile runs? (two 90 mile runs seems too much?)

And rounding out the lead group are Joar Leifseth Ulsom (who put in a massive 12-hour run from McGrath to put himself in contention once again), Richie Diehl, and Mille Porsild.


Joar is resting at mile 634 - so 147 miles to SKW - that's two ~75 mile runs, or three 50 mile runs. Depends how quickly he can get back through the Gorge. He has 13 dogs, so still strong.

(It is just me, or do the teams seem larger than usual for this late in the race? Mushers holding onto their dogs so they have the power to get back through the mountains?)
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